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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview

LetsTalkGolf gives a detailed betting preview for this week’s Waste Management Phoenix Open which gets underway on Thursday 29th January 2015.

RE-CAP

Another week, another win. This time it was Bill Haas at 28/1 who outlasted Matt Kuchar and a host of others at the Humana Challenge. Finishing with four birdies was Charley Hoffman, who got into the gaggle of players at T2 to bank more profit at 50/1. All in all it was another three top tens for our picks as Ryan Palmer also recovered from an early treble bogey to finish T10. In 2015 so far we are an impressive +105 points!

INTRO

The PGA Tour moves to Super Bowl World, Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Playing on the same weekend is the Super Bowl in nearby Glendale and the fans at the notorious 16th will be as feisty as ever. Prepare for plenty of NFL themed fun and games. Kevin Stadler won last year, but is out with a hand injury so will not defend the title he snatched from Bubba Watson. Meanwhile Tiger Woods makes his season debut, and injury-comeback, this week, so get ready for the eponymous Tiger-Tracker! Oh and for any Mexican cartels looking for a quick score, Robert Allenby is around too.

COURSE STATS

TPC Scottsdale has been completed renovated. Not a single hole has been left alone in the redesign project that original designer Tom Weiskopf collaborated extensively on. Although the closing stretch has had little more than a few cosmetic touches, one of the bigger challenges was rebunkering the entire course to cope with the added distance of today’s professionals. The course now stands at 7,266 yards, par 71 and with the added bunkering, accuracy off the tee might take a higher priority this year.

WHO’S PLAYING?

Tiger Woods is, and that’s all you need to know!

OK, WHO ELSE?

Of the top twenty in the OWGR seven will tee it up, Bubba Watson, Rickie Fowler, Phil Mickelson, Jordan Spieth, Patrick Reed, Matt Kuchar and Hideki Matsuyama. Looking to creep in is Zach Johnson, Jamie Donaldson, Kevin Na, Hunter Mahan, Keegan Bradley, Brooks Koepka and last week’s winner Bill Haas.

HORSES FOR COURSES

Brendan Steele has three consecutive top tens in this tournament and clearly has a liking for desert golf, as shown in last week’s T2 in the Humana. As does Hunter Mahan who finished T4 last year, T16 in 2013 and won it in 2010.

IN-FORMERS

Ryan Palmer continues to knock around at the upper echelons of leaderboards without much luck. In his first two outings of the season he has posted 7/8 rounds in the 60s. Matt Kuchar continues his fine scoring and is an amazing 46-under par for his first three tournaments this year finishing T17, T3 and T2 last week, but he still fails to convert with any confidence!

TIPS

Ryan Palmer - I’m going to continue for a third week with the Amarillo Kid, not just because he’s almost looked great the last two, but because he had a T5 here in 2013 and was 14th in 2010. He continues to be up there with the best putters and albeit one mistake last week and one mistake in Hawaii, he could well have finished first past the post twice. His accuracy does bother me a little, but he more than makes up for it with a scoring average (birdies, eagles and putting) that cannot be bettered.

Brendan Steele - Was so close last week at his home tournament he must have been almost able to taste victory, but he actually fares a lot better here. His most recent appearances in Phoenix read T6, in 2014 and then T6 in 2013 and a T5 in 2012. With good form last week, he is a easy pick this time out.

Ryan Moore - Has two top tens here in his last two visits and hasn’t missed a cut yet. Moore has already won at the CIMB Classic in Malyasia and odds of 50/1 should be taken, and taken quickly. As we highlighted earlier, hitting fairways will be key this week and Moore hits more than most. He ranks comfortably inside the top 25 for Fairways Hit - hitting over 70%. We might worry about his putting, but he has never been consistently good on the greens, but he only needs to be good for a week!

Eric Compton - Showed a lot of heart in the Humana, starting in the final group on Sunday and despite not making anything on the greens he still managed a top ten, just three shots from eventual winner Haas. He finished second to Martin Kaymer at the U.S. Open last year and looked good for three and a half days in the desert last week. He is better than odds of 150/1 suggest.

I also have a keen eye on Gary Woodland, Brandt Snedeker and Harris English, three players who will win at some point this year. Take a look yourself and tell me what you think.

STAKING PLAN

Ryan Palmer 33/1 - 2 points TO WIN

Brendan Steele 40/1 - 1.5 points EACH WAY

Ryan Moore 50/1 - 1.5 points EACH WAY

Eric Compton 150/1 - 1 point EACH WAY

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