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US Open Golf

Belgium did their bit for the 12/5 double, but Germany let us down, despite their 8-0 rout of Estonia.

There’s no be today with the lack of football that had any good stats. I’ll continue to monitor the fixtures in South America, so there could be something on Twitter.

I’m here to look ahead to the US Open at the scenic Pebble Beach.


US Open

A number of bookies are paying 10 places on the third major of the year, so it’s up to you if you go for the better price and fewer places, or the places.

William Hill are offering a free bet every time the player you back hits an eagle.

Brooks Koepka is looking for his third successive US Open crown after winning the previous two, and he arrives at Pebble Beach after triumphing in the US PGA Championship, holding off a late challenge from Dustin Johnson.

This Pebble Beach course is one that has seen a mix of winners – bombers and short hitters, so don’t rule out the shorter drivers. It’s going to come down to iron play and putting.

Every year there’s a Pro-Am event held at this course. It plays slightly differently with one of the par 5’s in that event turned into a par 4 for this event.

However, there are obvious links made between that event with it giving an indication of who can handle the conditions next to the ocean.

There are plenty of recurring names in that event. Phil Mickelson is a five-time winner and won by three strokes this year with Paul Casey in second.

Lefty has won three of the four majors, but this is the one that has proved elusive in his stellar career.

He’s been second on six occasions yet the fact he loves this course could see him going one better.

That said some of his performances this season have left a bit to be desired. He’s missed four cuts in his last seven events, including at the Memorial two weeks ago.

Dustin Johnson won the Pro-Am in 2009 and 2010, plus has finished second on a handful of occasions.

When the US Open was last held at Pebble Beach, Johnson lead going into the final round. He started on -6, but ended up +5 and T8 allowing Graeme McDowell to take the trophy.

The big-hitting American won the US Open in 2016 and has finished in the runner-up position in both majors so far this season.

I couldn’t back anyone as short as 8/1 in golf, but there is plenty going in Johnson’s favour.

One man has had his injury problems of late yet he has excellent form around Pebble Beach.

Jason Day is yet to win the Pro-Am but has finished in the top ten on five of his seven starts, one other finish was an 11th.

The Australian was second in the 2018 Pro-Am alongside Mickelson and Johnson, so you can see he likes it around here.

Day ranks 5th for Birdie Average on the PGA Tour with 68% Greens In Regulation, showing his iron play and putting is up to scratch.

After his T4 in this year’s Pro-Am, we’ve seen a T8 in the Players Championship, T5 in the Masters.

An early start could be beneficial with the dew adding a bit of moisture to the course and with Day being an early starter, then we could see him going low.

We know he can contend and I’m more than willing to take a punt on his despite a few fitness concerns, especially at a price bigger than his usual.

One sporting each-way punt for me is Brandt Snedeker – he’s a two-time winner of the Pro-Am.

In 2015 when he lifted the trophy, he set the record for the lowest winning score with a -22 and it was a three-stroke victory.

He’s an impressive putter and sits 8th in the PGA Tour rankings for Strokes Gained in Putting and 24th overall for Strokes Gained.

His recent form has been very solid. T16 at the PGA Championship, T19 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and last weekend, he finished T4 at the Canadian Open where he carded a second round of 60.

In the last US Open at Pebble in 2010, Snedeker snuck into T8, which would earn you an each-way return in most places this time around, so he’s in my portfolio of punts.

One man that I’m taking a risk on at a price is Kevin Na. He was T20 here in the 2018 Pro-Am.

He is a sporadic visitor to that event with his visit before then in 2016 when he opened with a first round of 67 showing he can score well around here.

His best finish was a 7th in 2016 when this was played at Oakmont and his recent form has hinted he could contend in a major.

He won the Charles Schwab Challenge with three rounds in the 60s, including a 62, while he was T10 in the RBC Heritage and T5 in the Match Play.

The 35-year-old is a very tidy player and has all the assets to go well at Pebble Beach this week.

There are further names to mention based on form:

Patrick Cantlay – Won the Memorial in fine style and has finished T3 at the RBC Heritage and PGA Championship in recent months, on top of his T9 at the Masters. He’s in fine form and is solid with his all-round game, so is another I can see contending.

Rory McIlroy – Hard not to mention after his final round at the Canadian Open when he tore up the course and hit a 61 despite being on for a 59. That took him to the trophy and if in the same vein of form could relish this course.

Webb Simpson – The 2012 US Open winner at Olympic Club was T2 behind McIlroy last week in Canada and was T5 at the Masters. He’s a very good player with his game, especially his irons, so that could help him set-up birdie and eagle chances, so was one that I was considering backing.

 

BETS (best price)

Jason Day (33/1)

Brandt Snedeker (50/1)

Kevin Na (125/1)

 

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