Yesterday was a good day with Tullyesker Hill winning at Newbury at 10/1, whilst my two other selections were both second.
Today’s racing mostly looks uninspiring in terms of betting, especially away from Newbury’s Hennessy Day, but these are my picks.
This novice’ hurdle races looks to lack depth, but could have a few surprises. Definitly Red (6/4) has shown good form in some good bumpers, especially last time out at Cheltenham where he won by four and a half lengths. Even though this is his first time over hurdles he showed class to win his previous bumper. Last season he beat Tea For Two at Newbury, who has gone onto win over hurdles, so the form of previous races looks strong. This is his first time over the trip, but he looks to have stamina. Chiswell looks to be the main danger after winning a maiden hurdle last time out, but again steps up in trip.
Monbeg Theatre looks likely to go out as an odds-on favourite after an impressive five-length victory at Southwell last time out. This is a slightly less trip, but that shouldn’t make a difference, as their could be more to come from this Jamie Snowden trained gelding. Urban Storm was second on his novice hurdle debut and again steps down in trip, which saws he has the stamina to go further in the future.
2:25 Newbury - Long Distance Hurdle
To put this in simple terms More of That (1/2) should win this quite easily, however horse racing isn’t that easy. This unbeaten six year old won the Grade One World Hurdle at Cheltenham beating Annie Power, who’s only defeat so far came in that race. Cole Harden won a Grade Two at Wetherby, beating At Fishers Cross, however that was only a three-runner race. In April he finished second in the Grade One Sefton Novices’ Hurdle at Aintree, so there is potential for an upset if he brings his best, but it would have to be a career best effort. Despite been one of the outsiders Shotgun Paddy has proven stamina after winning over 3m5f and a second over 4m. Even though they were over fences and this is his seasonal reappearance, I can’t see why he can’t run a big race ready to go for the Welsh Grand National.
3:00 Newbury - Hennessy Gold Cup Chase
The main showpiece race of the day. Djakadam at the head of the market is too short. In the JLT Novices Chase at the Cheltenham Festival he was travelling and jumping well when falling four from home. As a five year old there is still more to come, but this big race maybe one too soon for him. Both Alan King horses interest me; Smad Place (7/1) and Midnight Prayer (25/1) are worth each way stakes. Firstly Smad Place, who was second to O’Faolains Boy in the RSA Chase. He jumped beautifully and was just beaten by a neck. In that race today’s fellow competitors Annacotty, will look to make all from the front, finished eighth, but if he recaptures the form that saw him win the Grade One Kauto Star Novice chase then he’ll be in the frame, whilst Many Clouds was brought down, but is on the up. Midnight Prayer won over 4m at the Cheltenham Festival and has the stamina to beat many of these. In that race he tracked the leaders and jumped well throughout and ran on well up the hill. Wychwoods Brook won a Grade 2 at Haydock over 3m1f on worse ground and could outrun his price, as the extra furlong shouldn’t be a problem. Final mention goes to The Druids Nephew, who finished second over 3m3f at Cheltenham’s open meeting two weeks ago. He finished well clear at the rest of the field and looks to be well handicapped coming into this, plus a stronger pace will be useful to get him settled early.
Smad Place (7/1) e/w
Midnight Prayer (25/1) e/w
Newcastle plays host to its biggest race, the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (2:05). Nothing in the race really takes my fancy. Irving (6/5) had won two Grade two races before disappointing at Cheltenham and then falling at Wincanton towards the end of last season. At his current price I’d be looking to take him on with the Willie Mullins Arctic Fire (11/4), who could improve after finishing second last time out at Down Royal. John Ferguson’s horses are in good form, but Sea Lord (14/1) is hard to work out. He has only raced twice in Grade races, the best finishing second at Cheltenham behind The Liquidator, after that he was off for around five months. This is more of a viewing race rather than a betting race.
Best of luck with your bets.
Related Sport ArchivesHorse Racing,
You must be logged in to post a comment.