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Nick’s Picks: La Liga Matchday 19

LaLiga

Barcelona (1/16) v Granada (55/1) – Saturday 3pm

From Barcelona’s past four Primera matches, they have drawn three times. As a result Atletico Madrid top the table heading into the weekend, albeit having played a game more than the Catalan side. Luis Enrique’s men need to step up and they could not have asked for a better team to face to get back to winning ways.

Granada have conceded in every away game of the campaign. Last season they shipped nine goals at the Bernabeu whilst Barca put six past them. In the Andalusians’ last away match they leaked four times at Las Palmas so it is hard to see them taming Barcelona’s lethal strikeforce on Saturday afternoon. This wager pays out should Lionel Messi and Co. win by four goals or more against the second worst defence in La Liga. The -3 European handicap is slightly shorter at evens, but it is the exact same bet.

Barcelona -3.5 Asian Handicap – 43/40 (2.08) with Bet365 = WON


 Anytime Goalscorer selections

Favourite: Borja BASTON (Eibar v Espanyol) – 19/10 (2.9) at 888sport = WON

Underdog: ISCO (Real Madrid v Deportivo) – 12/5 (3.4) at 888sport = LOST

Longshot: THOMAS Partey (Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid) – 17/2 (9.5) at Bet365 = [VOID, not in match squad]


Getafe (EVS) v Real Betis (17/5) – Saturday 5.15pm

Referee Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo is on duty for this one, and the Spanish official has the second highest cards per match ratio in the league. From 9 games played, he has awarded 60 yellows, 4 second yellows and one straight red, which equates to 7.22 total cards per match.

Getafe and Real Betis average 3.29 and 3.22 yellow cards per match, respectively. The home side will fancy their chances in this one whilst Betis are desperate for a win. This could lead to an ill-tempered affair, and the above even-money offer on over 65 booking points is the selection here (a yellow = 10 booking points, whilst a red = 25).

The visitors are in a terrible run of form and Pepe Mel’s days are numbered. The ex-West Brom boss saw his side suffer an embarrassing 4-0 defeat to Eibar last weekend, which was followed by a derby loss at Sevilla in the Copa Del Rey. They have won just twice in eleven league games.

Over 65 booking points – 21/20 (2.05) with William Hill = LOST


Real Madrid (1/6) v Deportivo La Coruna (22/1) – Saturday 7.30pm

Zinedine Zidane takes charge of his first match on Saturday, replacing Rafa Benitez who was sacked after just seven months. Unfortunately the Spaniard was doomed from the start and the Real fans were against him from the moment he took the job. Deportivo should prove to be a decent test in the Frenchman’s first assignment, and I’m backing them to get on the scoresheet here.

Under manager Víctor Sánchez, Deportivo have scored in 11 of their 14 games away from home. In December Depor earned a 2-2 draw in Barcelona, whilst Real have conceded in their last five league matches at the Bernabeu. Coral offer 21/20 that Depor find the net.

With the Galacticos eager to impress their new coach, expect the frontline of Benzema, Bale and Cristiano to be on form. At home Real have won 22 of their last 26 La Liga fixtures. Los Blancos should prevail but I can see them conceding in the process. Head-to-head this bet was a winner in six of the last eight meetings between these two teams.

Lucas Perez has 12 goals to his name for Deportivo this season. As a side bet, William Hill offer 4/1 on Perez to score anytime and Real Madrid to win.

Real Madrid win + both teams to score – 8/5 (2.6) with Betfair = LOST


Prices correct at time of writing

By Nick Munday - @NM_sport

 

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