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Daily Blog: 24/11/19 (MK: -0.76)

Peterborough managed to find a win, but it was only 1-0 with a 90th-minute goal, so no dice for us. Angers did give us something later in the night with their 1-0 win over Nimes.

There’s a game in Spain that sees two sides with some contrasting form.


Villarreal vs Celta Vigo (17:30)

Villarreal are unbeaten at home this season, and in fact, they’ve only lost once here in their last 15 matches.

Those results have seen points picked up against Barca (last season) and Real Madrid this campaign.

The Yellow Submarine have won three of their last four La Liga outings here at La Ceramica – scoring 11 and conceding two in those three successes.

Gerard Moreno has two in three, while Karl Toko Ekambi has four in three, so while they score freely, they do manage to keep it tight at the back with clean sheets kept against Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao.

There are plenty of late goals in Villarreal games with 9 of those 11 coming in the second half, so do look towards late drama here.

Celta Vigo are in disarray – 18th place on just nine points from 13 games and winless in their last five.

Three games they’ve failed to score in that recent run, including a couple of 1-0 home defeats where they are usually so strong.

On the road, it’s been pretty grim viewing. In 2019, they’re winless on their travels in La Liga – P17, W0, D6, L11.

Strangely, their last away win came here in December when they were 3-0 up and nearly managed to let it slip after two late Carlos Bacca goals, but they clung on.

Celta are deep in trouble and their usual talisman Iago Aspas isn’t having as much influence as he has in previous seasons, which means there is little threat going forward.

Five of Celta’s six away games have all seen at least two goals, so this will eek more out of the short price on Villarreal.

If you want to throw in Celta picking up one card, then this price will go to 21/20 on the Bet365 BetBuilder feature.

Villarreal to Win & Over 1.5 Goals (EVS – Various)


One to Note

Sassuolo vs Lazio (14:00)

BTTS & O2.5 Goals (5/6) is the obvious angle here. It’s landed in eight of Lazio’s last nine games in all comps, while it’s five out of six for Sassuolo in Serie A.

At home, it’s also five out of six for Sassuolo with their last four seeing defeats of 1-4, 3-4 and 1-2, while in their last outing here they beat Bologna 3-1.

When these met back in April, it was 2-2 with all four goals coming after the break, so with Beradi and Immobile in great form for their respective sides, you have to be backing goals here.

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