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Daily Blog: 10/11/19 (MK: -0.19)

No dice at St Andrew’s as Fulham left 1-0 victors for just their second away win of the season.

What a day we have in store. Wolves v Villa, Liverpool v Man City, Betis v Sevilla and Juventus v Milan, plus a lot more.

I’ve previewed the West Midlands derby between Wolves and Villa for WeLoveBetting. There’s a couple of big priced bets put up, plus another couple mentioned in the preview:

Vitoria Guimarães vs Sporting Braga (20:00)

These two sides were involved in Europa League action earlier in the week, but it’s the hosts who have had an extra day to prepare after their game against Arsenal was played on Wednesday.

That was because of matchday congestion in the area with these two cities separated by just 15 miles, so this is a derby fixture.

The hosts rescued a late draw against Arsenal, which they deserved. In the league, they’re unbeaten here in five (W3, D2).

In contrast, Braga struggle on the road. They’ve lost three of five away games, and only recorded a 1-0 win at Portimonense.

That would mean a look towards Guimarães in the 1X2 markets, but for now, there’s a bet to be had in the corners market.

The corner count on Wednesday for Guimaraes was 8-6 continuing a fine run of corners, and Sporting Braga took seven in their 3-1 win over Besiktas.

These are two reliable corner sides.

Guimarães overall 4+ corners: 10/10
Guimarães home 4+ corners: 5/5

Braga overall 4+ corners: 9/10
Braga away 4+ corners: 4/5

Impeccable numbers from the hosts and Braga aren’t doing too badly either.

Braga average 5.8 corners per away game, while Guimarães average at 8.2 per league home game.

I’m expecting plenty of entertainment here and the corner count should be high, as both of these sides like to play on the front foot.

Each Team 4+ Corners (10/11 – Sky Bet)

Football Shortlist

Liverpool vs Man City

 It has to be talked about. It’s advantage Liverpool for me with Man City without Laporte and Ederson.

The Reds have a phenomenal record here at Anfield, and it’s a place that the Citizens have struggled in recent times.

Last season saw both of these cancel each other out in a goalless draw where Riyad Mahrez skied a late penalty.

For me, Liverpool look a more relentless beast this year and Man City’s high standards seemed to have somewhat slipped, albeit marginally.

My Bet365 free bet offer has gone on a Liverpool win, and I’ll assess the in-play value for probably a card angle.


Boavista vs Porto (21:00)

If cards markets become available, then look towards a high bar. These are two sides that rack up the booking points.

Boavista have had 40+ team booking points in 8/10 games this season, while Porto have had 30+ in all five away games to date.

That’s definitely one to hope Betfair price up.


I’ll keep an eye on thing today, so if I spot anything interesting in-play, I’ll give it a tweet.

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