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Daily Blog: 07/11/19 (MK: -1.59)

There was no bet yesterday, but if you read my preview of Arsenal’s trip to Guimarães, you’ll have had a 21/20 winner from the WLB piece.

It’s all about the Europa League tonight.

Borussia Monchengladbach v Roma (20:00)

One of the standout matches of the night sees Roma travel to Germany to take on the Bundesliga leaders.

It was quite some ending when these sides met two weeks ago with Scottish referee giving Monchengladbach a stoppage-time penalty for ‘handball’ by Chris Smalling, despite the ball hitting him in the face.

Lars Stindl converted the penalty and the Germans left with a point meaning just three points separates the teams in Group J – Roma top (5 points) with Monchengladbach bottom (2 points).

That game saw 60 booking points with Roma getting 40 and the German side 20.

I’m sticking with a similar theme here this evening, as the Italians are quite feisty on their travels.

In five Serie A away games they’ve had booking points totals of 30, 85, 40, 65 & 45 – an average of over 50 per game.

That’s some going, plus they picked up 40 at home to AC Milan and 75 at home to Napoli. Overall, it’s 29 yellows and 4 reds.

Gladbach have only picked up 30 booking points in two games this season. 8/10 Bundesliga games have seen 20 or less booking points.

At home, they average 20 booking points in their five games, but their two most recent games have only seen them collect one card.

So far in the Europa League though, they’ve picked up 40 bookings against Wolfsberger and in Istanbul, while they got 20 in the reverse fixture.

It’s 3/3 for Gladbach getting two-plus cards in this competition and it’s the same for Roma.

Spaniard Jesus Gil Manzano is the man in the middle. All eight of his club games in La Liga or European competition have seen at least four cards.

His last four games have seen booking points totals have been 70, 50, 95 & 50, while his last 10 Champions League/Europa League outings have all seen a minimum of 40 booking points.

Roma Most Booking Points (11/10 – Sky Bet) was considered but Sky are 10/11 on 20+ Booking Points each team, which looked solid – but it’s a bigger price elsewhere.

Both Teams Over 1.5 Cards (13/10 – Bet Victor)


If anything else takes my eye, I’ll add it.

If a corners market appears for Espanyol v Ludogorets then I could be interested in backing a high count. These are usually two decent sides for corners with both averaging over 5 per game.

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