Big Footy Preview: LGE1 + LGE2 (WK25) 30 January 2015
LUTON TOWN FORECASTER
FINAL OUTCOME: Luton Town vs Cambridge United (Luton Win)
A curious match at Luton this Saturday, hosting FA Cup heroes Cambridge. This will be the 7th time we've met over the last two seasons having played Cambridge 4 times last season (twice in the league and twice in the FA Trophy) and twice already this season (in the league and in the FA Cup - the tie Cambridge won to draw Man Utd). It's not a derby as such but it's fair to say both sets of fans look forward to playing each other and there's a friendly, but competitive, rivalry between the two sides - and there have been reports this week that the match will be a sell-out at Kenilworth Road with 10,000+ in attendance. Despite knocking us out of the competition, there are no sour grapes over their FA Cup success here, as I feel that could actually serve to distract Cambridge from the task at hand. They'll be playing at Old Trafford on the Tuesday after this match is played, and that'll no doubt be on the minds of the Cambridge players and they could (subconsciously) be taking extra care to try and avoid injury or sending off and just get through the match unscathed. Ignoring the Old Trafford factor, and I think Luton would be a reasonable bet to win this game anyway. Whenever we play at home I harp on about our home record, and I'm about to do the same again. The form reads P13 W8 D3 L2, and undefeated in the last 10 home games. Our recent overall - home and away- record isn't too sexy, the last 8 games reading P8 W3 D4 L1, however we've played 4 of the top 7 in that time and W2 D2 against them, all of a sudden that run doesn't look too bad after all. Following on from that tough set of games though, I think we're about to turn a corner and notch up a few wins on the bounce again starting with Cambridge, as 7 of our next 8 games are against bottom-half teams. On top of that, we've got 3 key attacking players close to return from injury; Alex Lawless was on the bench last week, whereas Pelly Ruddock and Luke Guttridge are just returning to full training. All 3 are players who can unlock opposition defence's, and provide 'magic moments' as Luton boss John Still calls them, and that's what we've been missing in the last couple of months as we've had to prioritise defensive solidity in the absence of key creative forces in the team. Saturday should see the return of a more attack-focused Luton team, and I'd back them to beat Cambridge at a decent 1.91 (10/11) with William Hill and Coral. I won't be betting the game myself, but for a longer price you could back Luton Win To Nil (2/1 PaddyPower & SkyBet - Luton have kept clean sheets in 8/13 home games and conceded 5 in those 13), or BetVictor are offering 7/10 for Under 2.5 goals, a bet that's banked in 10/13 Luton home games. Hopefully this will prove a helpful guide on the match, good luck with whatever you're betting this weekend.
BTTS W-D-W: Bournemouth vs Watford (Bournemouth & BTTS)
PREVIEW BY: Oli Walker, Luton ST Holder (@JSBAHatter)
FINAL OUTCOME: Chesterfield 1 V 1 Doncaster ( Draw)
Chesterfield continue there surge on the play off spots after a convincing win over a poor looking Crawley side on Tuesday, and sit in 5th position. A Bumper crowd for this fixture against Doncaster is expected as they make the short trip to the Proact stadium. A match in which an away win would see them both level on points as they both fight to stake a claim for those play off places. No new injury concerns for Chesterfield and the added benefit of Drew Talbot getting valuable minutes at the end of the previous fixture, and only Gary Roberts still out with his Hamstring injury.
So as statistics go, Chesterfield lost the reverse fixture at the Keepmoat 3-2, Doncaster now haven't lost on the road in seven matches and undefeated in the league in 6.
Chesterfield haven't lost at home in 4 and in which 11 goals have been scored in the process, although a goal frenzy for the home side is unlikely against this resolute Doncaster defence. I can see a had fought victory for the home side with only a 1 goal difference between the 2 sides or possibly a score draw.
BTTS at generally 8/11 looks very certain. Or a punt at Byron Harrison at 11/5 for AGS on his home debut also has a bit of value.
BTTS W-D-W: Liverpool v West Ham ( BTTS Home win)
PREVIEW BY: Simon Adams, Season Ticket Holder & Life Long fan.
COVENTRY CITY FORECASTER
FINAL OUTCOME: COVENTRY CITY V ROCHDALE (draw)
I predicted last week that the Sky Blues away match at Yeovil would end in a draw which was a typical bottom of the table clash and with both sides satisfied with the nil nil stalemate. This Saturday the struggling City are at home at the Ricoh Arena to Rochdale who sit nicely in sixth place in League One whilst the hosts are just above the drop zone.
Rochdale boast two in form strikers in Ian Henderson and Matt Done who between them have notched 22 goals so the Sky Blues defence will have to be on their toes if they want to keep these two sharpshooters at bay.Yet surprisingly the City have kept six clean sheets in their last ten league games which is a statistic only matched by high flying MK Dons so if they just start banging in some goals they could be up and away from the nether regions of the division. They along with Notts County are the joint lowest scorers with a measly seven goals in ten matches.
The Northern side were knocked out of the FA Cup in the week 4-1 by Stoke City but that should have little bearing on the game with Coventry City who are 11/8 to win and the visitors go at 19/10 with the draw 12/5 all with Sky bet, so it looks like this one could be a tight affair.
The City need the points to move away from danger whist the Dale want to stay in the top six.
I reckon it will be a close encounter which will end in a scoring draw.
BTTS W-D-W- CHELSEA V MANCHESTER CITY-(DRAW)
PREVIEW BY KEVIN HALLS: A miserable but strangely optimistic Coventry City fan.
FINAL OUTCOME: Walsall 1 1 Gillingham
A rejuvenated Gillingham side head to Walsall on Sunday looking to pick up their third away victory of the season and leapfrog the hosts. Walsall made history on Tuesday evening having booked their first Wembley date in their 127 year history, beating Preston 2 0 on aggregate in the Johnstone's Paint Trophy area final. The Gills on the other hand, lost 5 3 on aggregate to Bristol City in the other area final but can be pleased with their second leg efforts, drawing the second leg 1 1. Walsall will look to improve on their recent home form, with Dean Smith's side scoring two in their last three home games but conceding a total of ten. Gillingham striker Cody McDonald would be a good bet to add to that conceded tally having scored 3 in 3 against the Saddlers. His strike partner John Marquis should return to the side after missing the second leg of the Johnstone's Paint Trophy against Bristol City. Gillingham have scored in each and every game they have played since the 1st of November and having not kept a clean sheet in the league since September both teams to score in this encounter seems rather likely.
BTTS-W-D-W: Brentford v Middlesbrough (BTTS and a Brentford win)
Preview by: Liam Taylor, Gillingham season ticket holder for nine years, @GfcLiam
Related Sport Archives
You must be logged in to post a comment.